Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.312415 3.984829 4.737162 5.638084 6.684211 7.857164 9.268193
2025-04-06 2.353119 3.206504 4.264247 5.658294 7.432196 9.597768 12.423099
2025-04-13 1.743489 2.648393 3.872845 5.620956 8.017237 11.146853 15.495411
2025-04-20 1.442936 2.404139 3.804060 5.938133 9.043514 13.320529 19.560293
2025-04-27 1.197490 2.171540 3.687718 6.137416 9.892429 15.305151 23.534135
2025-05-04 1.032886 2.021901 3.655428 6.432795 10.885595 17.557900 28.059896
2025-05-11 0.846806 1.790838 3.445189 6.402532 11.354708 19.055792 31.581878
2025-05-18 0.670660 1.534840 3.142500 6.163075 11.441325 19.949552 34.231036
2025-05-25 0.525672 1.302699 2.836811 5.863336 11.374386 20.567958 36.466546
2025-06-01 0.440856 1.173522 2.698473 5.838152 11.762376 21.939377 39.988754
2025-06-08 0.377274 1.075307 2.602465 5.874368 12.253974 23.510795 43.937579
2025-06-15 0.321054 0.979971 2.494614 5.868661 12.659828 24.955047 47.758466
2025-06-22 0.254830 0.843203 2.275725 5.612792 12.576120 25.552939 50.214115
2025-06-29 0.215962 0.768091 2.182402 5.607995 12.981649 27.066800 54.393160
2025-07-06 0.181328 0.694413 2.077987 5.562205 13.296052 28.431479 58.392756
2025-07-13 0.168591 0.683568 2.127789 5.873271 14.380419 31.331632 65.390432
2025-07-20 0.152167 0.655988 2.129065 6.069488 15.236933 33.848349 71.822175
2025-07-27 0.141136 0.643408 2.168250 6.361601 16.327562 36.896257 79.433877
2025-08-03 0.120524 0.589690 2.082648 6.331476 16.697092 38.525456 84.414742
2025-08-10 0.097267 0.516725 1.925620 6.094282 16.568120 39.125467 87.418884
2025-08-17 0.076761 0.445464 1.756737 5.797442 16.263465 39.329478 89.637817
2025-08-24 0.065613 0.409621 1.691384 5.772498 16.602904 40.911706 94.712397
2025-08-31 0.057201 0.382740 1.649790 5.808358 17.093624 42.849964 100.619493